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The fast-changing world economy in a global world under the influence of different cyclical factors, such as falling oil prices, decline in consumer demand, epidemics, poses unique challenges for many states. Among them are stopping the fall in real incomes of the population, stabilizing the unemployment rate in a crisis, searching for sales markets which can be solved with the help of the mechanism of a competent redistribution of budget expenditures both at the federal and regional levels.

Nowadays, expenditure on social policy increases, the funds from reserve funds are used, the state actively begins protect socially vulnerable populations while triggering the mechanism of state support. The Russian Federation is in such circumstances. In order to recover from the crisis now, it is necessary to have a multivariate analysis.

The article gives an analysis of the economic situation of the state in a crisis (on the example of the Russian Federation in terms of a coronavirus pandemic) which is based on fundamental macroeconomic indicators, as well as an analysis of the decisions which are made to minimize the consequences of the crisis, a forecast of the unemployment rate and real cash income of the population for the fourth quarter of 2020 and 2021 based on socio-economic trends.

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